New Economic Study presented to HM Treasury
A VAT cut for the UK’s tourism economy would lead to a £4 bn Tax windfall for the Treasury according to new research being handed to Government today.
The Nevin Report, commissioned by the Cut Tourism VAT Campaign, says that a cut from 20% to 5% for accommodation and attractions would massively boost the UK’s tourism economy and cost the exchequer nothing after five years.
This comes alongside a boost to Gross Domestic Product each year that will peak at £4bn per annum, and the creation of over 120,000 jobs around the UK.
Political backing for the Cut Tourism Vat campaign has grown massively, with over 70 politicians signaling their support.
Nick Varney, chief executive of Merlin Entertainment, said: “Doing a few fancy posters saying ‘Heritage is Great’ and putting them up at Shanghai Airport is not going to turn around 30 years of constant decline.If all UK holidays became 15 per cent cheaper, economics tells you what’s going to happen.”
Thousands of tourism businesses and a backbench rebellion of over 60 MPs are currently ratcheting up the pressure on the government to make the UK’s tourism sector more competitive.
The UK is currently one of the most expensive destinations to holiday in the world, ranked 138thout of 140 for price competitiveness by the Travel and Tourism Index, and one of just four countries in Europe not to have a reduced form of VAT for the tourism sector.
This is despite that the fact that tourism is one of the UK’s largest businesses – employing over 3.1 million people and generating £127bn for GDP in 2013 – and a cut would give a vital boost to regional business and economies reliant on the industry.
The report reveals that similar cuts made in France, Germany and Ireland in the last fiveyears have been hugely successful, and that a cut in the UK would boost investment, jobs and visitor numbers for the UK’s tourism economy.
The report was conducted by Michael Nevin Associates, one of the UK’s foremost economic forecasters.
The new report adds to a Deloitte study conducted in 2011, and Prof Adam Blake using the Treasury’s own model in 2012 said: “cutting Tourism VAT represents one of the most, if not the most efficient, means of generating GDP gains at a low cost to the Exchequer.”
A cut would also help the wider economy: the report states for each £1 spent in the tourism industry, 70p extra is spent in other sectors, benefitting retailers, the construction sector and a host of others – while reducing the shadow economy.
The report states that cutting VAT would help stem the UK’s tourism balance of payment deficit – which currently stands at £14bn (the amount spent by UK residents on international holidays compared to tourists coming in): for every one person that come into the UK, two go out.
Patrick Dempsey, Managing Director of Whitbread Hotels and Restaurants, said:
“We fully support the initiative to cut tourism tax. A cut would deliver a huge financial boost for tourism around the UK and 120,000 new jobs with 8,000 already being created by Premier Inn by 2018.”
Ufi Ibrahim, chief executive of the British Hospitality Association said:
“As the driving force behind our recovery, it’s vital we help smaller firms grow. Cutting VAT to 5% not only allows the sector to be competitive with Europe, where the majority of countries charge less VAT, but it shows hard grafting businesses that the government is behind them. No one denies the cut would dent tax revenues initially but only briefly, so this is a chance for politicians to prove they are really in it for the long by making an investment in an industry which is the UK’s biggest employer of young people.”
Graham Wason, chairman of the Cut Tourism VAT Campaign, said:
“This new research is the economic proof the Treasury has asked for to prove what every other country in Europe knows – that cutting VAT on holidays is profitable for governments. Many of our coastal towns are ignored but cutting VAT would help them thrive. More than 60 cross-party MPs have signed our parliamentary motion and more than 1,000 companies and groups are backing the campaign. David Cameron and George Osborne should remember that next election will be won or lost in the regions and in coastal constituencies which would benefit from the huge boost cutting tourism VAT would add to our economy.”
Dermot King, managing director of Bourne Leisure, which owns Butlins, said:
“As the pound continues to strengthen against the Euro driven by a combination of Mark Carney indicating higher UK interest rates and the European Central Bank considering a programme of Quantitative Easing (ie printing more Euros), the gap in price competitiveness between the UK and her European partners widens. Outside of the London bubble, UK tourism continues to try to compete with not just one but increasingly two arms tied behind its back.”
Margaret Ritchie, MP for South Down (SDLP) said:
“A cut in the rate of [Tourism] VAT would create demand, which would spur job creation and go some way towards reducing youth unemployment.”
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